Dender EH 1-1 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 32% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.45
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.18
X/2
15%
6.26
X/X
9%
4.2
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
14%
4.63
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.07/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.63
+6% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.4 Crosses 15.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Standard Liege
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.13 xG 1.58
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
498 Passes 216
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
13.09.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 0-2 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
08.11.2022 Dender EH Dender EH 0-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
17.01.2009 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-2 HT 2-2 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
16.08.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 1-3 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
03.05.2008 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-0 HT 2-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-1
AWAY Standard Liege
1.46 xG 1.27
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
268 Passes 434
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH and Standard Liege shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Dender EH had 40% of the ball to Standard Liege's 60%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.46 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dender EH and 2.17 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Standard Liege?

Dender EH 1-1 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 40%, draw 25%, Standard Liege 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dender EH), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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