Mechelen 1-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
16%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.32
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.56
X/2
11%
9.06
X/X
9%
5.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.0
2/2
11%
6.7
2/X
5%
14.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.88/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.43
+13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.8 Crosses 13.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY OH Leuven
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.32 xG 1.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 Passes 273
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
05.10.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 5-0 HT 2-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
27.04.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.03.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-3 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.03.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
23.09.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-2 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
1-1
AWAY OH Leuven
2.53 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
408 Passes 302
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
49 Box Touches 13
33 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen and OH Leuven shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Mechelen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Mechelen had 57% of the ball to OH Leuven's 43%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.53 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mechelen and 1.00 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs OH Leuven?

Mechelen 1-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 47%, draw 22%, OH Leuven 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mechelen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mechelen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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