OH Leuven 1-0 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
16%
5.14
X/2
9%
6.34
X/X
13%
4.41
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
10%
4.54
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.63/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.52
+16% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
15.7 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Mechelen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.88 xG 1.95
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 411
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 5-0 HT 2-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
27.04.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.03.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-3 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.03.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
23.09.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-2 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
08.04.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
1-0
AWAY Mechelen
0.85 xG 2.61
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 30
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
182 Passes 529
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 66
11 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven edged past Mechelen 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had OH Leuven as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, OH Leuven had 29% of the ball to Mechelen's 71%, shots finished 6-30, expected goals 0.85 to 2.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mechelen.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for OH Leuven and 2.17 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

OH Leuven 1-0 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 44%, draw 31%, Mechelen 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OH Leuven), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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