Royal Antwerp 0-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.75
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.1
X/2
13%
7.52
X/X
9%
5.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.45
2/2
15%
5.03
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.72/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.65
-10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.4 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gent
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
01.09.2024 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
25.02.2024 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 2-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
27.09.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
07.01.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
28.08.2022 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 1-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
0-1
AWAY Gent
1.28 xG 1.67
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
594 Passes 255
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent nicked a narrow win over Royal Antwerp 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Royal Antwerp at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 67% of the ball to Gent's 33%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.28 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Royal Antwerp and 0.83 for Gent.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Gent?

Royal Antwerp 0-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 42%, draw 25%, Gent 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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