Club Brugge 1-0 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.16
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.46
X/2
6%
9.77
X/X
10%
5.98
2/1
8%
20.75
2/2
10%
7.16
2/X
6%
15.3
Value flag · 1/X at 13.9 — our 10% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.93/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.74
+2% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.0 Crosses 16.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Genk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 1.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
387 Passes 455
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
34 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2025 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
15.01.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEK
15.12.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
11.08.2024 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.04.2024 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.04.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-0 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
1-0
AWAY Genk
2.73 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
25 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
468 Passes 397
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
48 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge edged past Genk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Brugge had 53% of the ball to Genk's 47%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.73 to 0.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Club Brugge's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Club Brugge and 0.83 for Genk.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Genk?

Club Brugge 1-0 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 52%, draw 26%, Genk 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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