Club Brugge 2-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.05
X/1
20%
4.33
X/2
7%
9.54
X/X
10%
5.86
2/1
6%
20.65
2/2
13%
7.1
2/X
7%
15.45
Value flag · 1/X at 14.05 — our 11% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 25%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.02/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.36
-9% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
40.0 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Genk
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.81 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 Passes 380
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
11.08.2024 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.04.2024 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.04.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-0 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
03.03.2024 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.09.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
2-1
AWAY Genk
1.19 xG 0.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
378 Passes 514
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
33 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge edged past Genk 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Club Brugge had 43% of the ball to Genk's 57%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Club Brugge and 0.67 for Genk.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Genk?

Club Brugge 2-1 Genk in the Belgium - Cup on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 45%, draw 28%, Genk 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ BTTS Yes
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