Genk 0-3 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.35
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
8%
6.51
X/2
18%
5.05
X/X
10%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
30.5
2/2
17%
3.04
2/X
9%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 6% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -21%
1.31/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.21
-17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
15.1 Crosses 21.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.62 xG 1.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
338 Passes 386
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-0 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
03.03.2024 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.09.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
28.05.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-3 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
30.04.2023 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
08.01.2023 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
0-3
AWAY Club Brugge
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Genk vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge cruised past Genk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Genk had 57% of the ball to Club Brugge's 43%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Genk and 1.83 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Genk vs Club Brugge?

Genk 0-3 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Genk 35%, draw 24%, Club Brugge 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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