Cercle Brugge 1-1 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.04
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
21%
4.79
X/2
10%
6.47
X/X
10%
4.69
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.61
2/X
9%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.49/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.39
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.1 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Anderlecht
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
257 Passes 320
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 2-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
27.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
05.11.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-3 HT 0-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.03.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
30.07.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
26.01.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-1
AWAY Anderlecht
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 53% of the ball to Anderlecht's 47%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.67 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 45%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ BTTS Yes
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