Club Brugge 2-0 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.01
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.9
X/1
14%
3.94
X/2
11%
10.65
X/X
9%
6.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.2
2/2
9%
7.82
2/X
8%
16.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
2.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.74
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.6 Crosses 16.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Genk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 1.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
399 Passes 346
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.04.2024 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.04.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-0 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
03.03.2024 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.09.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
28.05.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-3 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
2-0
AWAY Genk
2.10 xG 1.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
365 Passes 438
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge got the better of Genk 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Brugge had 47% of the ball to Genk's 53%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.10 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Club Brugge and 1.17 for Genk.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Genk?

Club Brugge 2-0 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 48%, draw 25%, Genk 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
15 Dec 2024
18:00 Union Saint-Gilloise vs Westerlo Analysis →
20:30 St. Truidense vs Anderlecht Analysis →
21:15 Gent vs Cercle Brugge Analysis →