Gent 1-1 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 15 Dec 2024

Gent
1-1 HT 1-0
Cercle Brugge
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Gent vs Cercle Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.62
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.69
X/2
8%
7.72
X/X
14%
5.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.55
2/2
10%
5.25
2/X
5%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gent v Cercle Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.72/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.60
+31% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.7 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gent vs Cercle Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.72 xG 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 Passes 178
73% Pass Accuracy 59%
23 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.09.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
11.02.2024 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
22.10.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
20.05.2023 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
13.05.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-4 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
29.01.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-2 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL

Gent 1-1 Cercle Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-1
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.32 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
320 Passes 240
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gent vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent and Cercle Brugge couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gent at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gent had 56% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 44%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.32 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gent and 1.83 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Gent vs Cercle Brugge?

Gent 1-1 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gent 48%, draw 26%, Cercle Brugge 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gent), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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