Genk 1-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.77
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
11%
6.04
X/2
13%
5.72
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
18%
3.47
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 40%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.59/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.48
+115% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +145%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
Crosses 18.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.32 xG 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
422 Passes 376
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEK
15.12.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
11.08.2024 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
28.04.2024 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.04.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-0 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
03.03.2024 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
1-1
AWAY Club Brugge
2.37 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
500 Passes 366
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk and Club Brugge shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Genk had 57% of the ball to Club Brugge's 43%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.37 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Genk and 2.67 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Genk vs Club Brugge?

Genk 1-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Genk 35%, draw 27%, Club Brugge 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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