Oulu 0-1 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 2 Aug 2025

Oulu
0-1 HT 0-1
Jaro
📅02/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.36
6+ Goals
13%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.49
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
10%
4.54
X/2
12%
8.07
X/X
15%
5.11
2/1
9%
23.05
2/2
9%
6.03
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.51/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.35
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.2 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jaro
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.81 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
130 Passes 312
55% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2025 Jaro Jaro 2-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
15.02.2025 Oulu Oulu 4-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
25.09.2020 Jaro Jaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN2
01.08.2020 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
05.10.2019 Oulu Oulu 4-1 HT 1-1 Jaro Jaro FİN2
24.07.2019 Jaro Jaro 4-3 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
0-1
AWAY Jaro
1.91 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
28 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
309 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
43 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro nicked a narrow win over Oulu 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Oulu at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oulu had 53% of the ball to Jaro's 47%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 1.91 to 1.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Oulu.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Oulu and 1.67 for Jaro.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Jaro?

Oulu 0-1 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oulu 44%, draw 30%, Jaro 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oulu), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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