Jaro 2-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Jun 2025

Jaro
2-1 HT 0-0
Oulu
📅18/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.08
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
12%
5.88
X/2
14%
5.52
X/X
11%
4.45
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.71
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.64/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.27
+29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oulu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
15.02.2025 Oulu Oulu 4-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
25.09.2020 Jaro Jaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN2
01.08.2020 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
05.10.2019 Oulu Oulu 4-1 HT 1-1 Jaro Jaro FİN2
24.07.2019 Jaro Jaro 4-3 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FİN2
09.06.2019 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-1
AWAY Oulu
1.25 xG 0.81
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
312 Passes 130
74% Pass Accuracy 55%
19 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jaro vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro edged past Oulu 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oulu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jaro had 65% of the ball to Oulu's 35%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.25 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jaro and 2.17 for Oulu.

What was the final score of Jaro vs Oulu?

Jaro 2-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jaro 30%, draw 27%, Oulu 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
18 Jun 2025
17:00 Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki Analysis →
17:00 IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →
21:00 VPS vs Gnistan Analysis →
21:00 HJK Helsinki vs Haka Analysis →