HJK Helsinki 3-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.74/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.89
+9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
16.8 Crosses 18.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Haka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.52 xG 0.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
397 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FLK
06.10.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
20.07.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
27.04.2024 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.06.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
3-1
AWAY Haka
2.35 xG 1.41
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
472 Passes 194
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki got the better of Haka 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 67% of the ball to Haka's 33%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.35 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.67 for Haka.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Haka?

HJK Helsinki 3-1 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 54%, draw 23%, Haka 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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