Ilves Tampere 2-3 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.9pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
2.08/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.76
+17% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.9 Crosses 20.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.32 xG 0.66
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
533 Passes 338
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
19.10.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
19.06.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
15.06.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-4 HT 2-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİK
19.04.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
24.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
2-3
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
0.75 xG 3.31
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
468 Passes 281
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki squeezed past Ilves Tampere 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 61% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 39%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.75 to 3.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold SJK Seinajoki's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.83 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki?

Ilves Tampere 2-3 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 47%, draw 25%, SJK Seinajoki 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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