Ilves Tampere 4-0 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.13
2-3 Goals
43%
2.08
4-5 Goals
24%
2.56
6+ Goals
12%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.93
1/2 EV+ ✗
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.19
X/2
9%
10.95
X/X
11%
6.97
2/1
6%
19.1
2/2
14%
7.07
2/X
6%
15.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 5% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.23/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.66
+7% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.6 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
0W-2D-4L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
380 Passes 324
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
15.06.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-4 HT 2-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİK
19.04.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
24.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
01.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
13.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
4-0
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
2.39 xG 0.73
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 10
523 Passes 378
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 16
3 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere swept aside SJK Seinajoki 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 56% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 44%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.39 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ilves Tampere and 2.00 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki?

Ilves Tampere 4-0 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 49%, draw 23%, SJK Seinajoki 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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