KuPS Kuopio 3-2 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
24%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.07
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
18%
4.44
X/2
6%
10.0
X/X
10%
6.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.9
2/2
13%
7.18
2/X
8%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.55/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.06
-16% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.6 Crosses 22.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.07 xG 1.03
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
482 Passes 271
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.06.2025 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
16.05.2025 Haka Haka 1-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
29.09.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
11.08.2024 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
12.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
02.02.2024 Haka Haka 3-1 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3-2
AWAY Haka
1.92 xG 1.08
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
623 Passes 360
93% Pass Accuracy 89%
32 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio edged past Haka 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 62% of the ball to Haka's 38%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.92 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.33 for Haka.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Haka?

KuPS Kuopio 3-2 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 52%, draw 24%, Haka 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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