KuPS Kuopio 2-0 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
19.1
X/1
13%
3.62
X/2
8%
15.55
X/X
8%
7.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.15
2/2
8%
11.65
2/X
7%
19.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.15 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.68/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.97
-9% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
494 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
22.9 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.59 xG 0.80
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
556 Passes 256
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
12.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
02.02.2024 Haka Haka 3-1 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
27.08.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
03.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
18.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2-0
AWAY Haka
2.39 xG 1.05
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
438 Passes 267
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio saw off Haka 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 60% of the ball to Haka's 40%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.39 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.33 for Haka.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Haka?

KuPS Kuopio 2-0 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 56%, draw 23%, Haka 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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