Haka 1-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 24 Jun 2025

📅24/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.33
1/2
10%
21.55
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
7%
7.97
X/2
12%
5.02
X/X
14%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
31.5
2/2
23%
2.6
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.34/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.29
-18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 2.13
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
254 Passes 484
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Haka Haka 1-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
29.09.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
11.08.2024 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
12.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
02.02.2024 Haka Haka 3-1 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
27.08.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
1-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Haka vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka and KuPS Kuopio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Haka had 44% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 56%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Haka and 1.67 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Haka vs KuPS Kuopio?

Haka 1-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 24/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Haka 27%, draw 28%, KuPS Kuopio 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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