Haka 1-3 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.64
1/2
9%
22.45
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
8%
7.88
X/2
17%
4.72
X/X
13%
5.45
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
16%
2.57
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 53%
+14% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.53/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.92
+68% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
20.6 Crosses 21.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.75
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
258 Passes 532
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
11.08.2024 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
12.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
02.02.2024 Haka Haka 3-1 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
27.08.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
03.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
1-3
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.31 xG 2.36
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
280 Passes 435
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Haka vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio saw off Haka 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Haka had 42% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 58%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.31 to 2.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Haka and 1.67 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Haka vs KuPS Kuopio?

Haka 1-3 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Haka 30%, draw 28%, KuPS Kuopio 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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