Gnistan 2-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.23
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
19%
5.55
X/2
12%
6.5
X/X
11%
5.39
2/1
7%
23.75
2/2
15%
4.13
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.23/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.49
-47% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
22.7 Crosses 25.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.01 xG 1.72
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
202 Passes 358
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
28.04.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
2-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.57 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
332 Passes 343
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan and SJK Seinajoki shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gnistan had 48% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 52%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.57 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gnistan and 0.50 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs SJK Seinajoki?

Gnistan 2-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 40%, draw 25%, SJK Seinajoki 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gnistan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gnistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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