Talavera CF 1-3 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Cacereno
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Cacereno Cacereno 1-1 HT 1-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
06.10.2024 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-2 HT 0-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
17.03.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 4-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
04.11.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-2 HT 0-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
15.01.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 0-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talavera CF
1-3
AWAY Cacereno
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno got the better of Talavera CF 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Talavera CF had 54% of the ball to Cacereno's 46%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cacereno led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Talavera CF and 1.80 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Cacereno?

Talavera CF 1-3 Cacereno in the Friendlies on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 30%, draw 27%, Cacereno 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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