Talavera CF 2-2 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.27/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.28
+5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Cacereno
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 4-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
04.11.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-2 HT 0-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
15.01.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 0-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF and Cacereno shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Talavera CF at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cacereno led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Talavera CF and 2.00 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Cacereno?

Talavera CF 2-2 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 42%, draw 26%, Cacereno 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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