Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Garcilaso v Cienciano — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 Cienciano — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso nicked a narrow win over Cienciano 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cienciano at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 33% of the ball to Cienciano's 67%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.27 to 0.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo Garcilaso's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.00 for Cienciano.
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 34%, draw 22%, Cienciano 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cienciano), Under 2.5 went the other way.