Rostov 1-4 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.06
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.58
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.47
X/2
6%
7.98
X/X
11%
4.5
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
8%
6.32
2/X
5%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.30/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.39
-4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.9 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 311
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Rostov Rostov 3-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
26.07.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-3 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
01.03.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
05.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 5-1 HT 3-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
12.11.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-3 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
17.09.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-4
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.38 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
294 Passes 309
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov swept aside Rostov 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Rostov had 50% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 50%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.38 to 0.86 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rostov.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rostov and 1.50 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov?

Rostov 1-4 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rostov 51%, draw 26%, Krylya Sovetov 22%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rostov), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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