Juventud 0-2 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
2.82/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.06
+118% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventud Juventud URU
16.10.2019 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 0-0 Juventud Juventud URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
0-2
AWAY Cerro Largo
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventud vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo beat Juventud 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Juventud at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Juventud had 60% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 40%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Juventud and 1.50 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Juventud vs Cerro Largo?

Juventud 0-2 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Juventud 42%, draw 27%, Cerro Largo 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Juventud) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventud) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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