Nacional de Football 5-2 Torque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
62%
+4.3pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.0pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Torque EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
2.05/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.47
+25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Torque
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.06.2025 Torque Torque 1-2 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
03.02.2025 Torque Torque 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
07.12.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
15.05.2023 Torque Torque 0-4 HT 0-4 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
28.08.2022 Torque Torque 0-3 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
14.03.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
5-2
AWAY Torque
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Torque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football cruised past Torque 5-2. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 44% of the ball to Torque's 56%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.67 for Torque.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Torque?

Nacional de Football 5-2 Torque in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Torque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 66%, draw 19%, Torque 15%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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