Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Academia Anzoátegui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Anzoátegui EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.68/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.37
+11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
20.4 Crosses 12.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Academia Anzoátegui
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.46 xG 0.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 Passes 303
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2025 Academia Anzoátegui 0-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
12.05.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-1 HT 0-0 Academia Anzoátegui VEN
23.02.2025 Academia Anzoátegui 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1-2
AWAY Academia Anzoátegui
1.56 xG 0.90
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
549 Passes 190
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Anzoátegui squeezed past Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo La Guaira at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 70% of the ball to Academia Anzoátegui's 30%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.56 to 0.90 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo La Guaira.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.33 for Academia Anzoátegui.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui?

Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Academia Anzoátegui in the Venezuela - Premier League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 56%, draw 26%, Academia Anzoátegui 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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