Rayo Zuliano 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
24%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+7.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
33%
-9.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -31%
1.48/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.07
+4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
331 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
16.4 Crosses 20.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.77 xG 1.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
205 Passes 336
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
19.10.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.04.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
27.08.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.03.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
2-1
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
0.45 xG 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
256 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano edged past Estudiantes De Merida 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rayo Zuliano as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 47% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 53%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.45 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 1.20 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Rayo Zuliano 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Zuliano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 45%, draw 31%, Estudiantes De Merida 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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