Cruz Azul 2-3 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Aug 2026

Cruz Azul
2-3 HT 0-1
Atlante
📅02/08/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2026/2027

Cruz Azul vs Atlante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.82
6+ Goals
8%
8.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 28% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.5pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruz Azul v Atlante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.86/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.18
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Cruz Azul vs Atlante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Atlante
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
The Meetings
19.08.2015 Atlante Atlante 0-2 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEKK
10.02.2014 Atlante Atlante 1-4 HT 1-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
18.08.2013 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK
18.03.2013 Atlante Atlante 0-3 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
04.10.2012 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 4-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK
29.01.2012 Atlante Atlante 2-2 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK

Cruz Azul 2-3 Atlante — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
2-3
AWAY Atlante
2.86 xG 1.89
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
376 Passes 210
20 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Cruz Azul vs Atlante
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atlante edged past Cruz Azul 3-2 away from home in the Mexico - Primera on 2 Aug 2026. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 40%.

On the day, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.86 to 1.89.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.50 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Atlante?

Cruz Azul 2-3 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 56%, draw 25%, Atlante 19%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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