02/08/2026
·
04:06
Istanbul · GMT+3
Leon vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Leon v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
Leon vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Leon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY
Pachuca
1.67
Avg Goals (FT)
1.17
1.24
xG
1.35
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
5
320
Passes
342
79%
Pass Accuracy
82%
18
Box Touches
22
19
Crosses
15
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
11.07.2023
Leon
4-0
HT 3-0
Pachuca
MEK
4-0
HT 3-0
Pachuca
MEK
COMMENT
Leon vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers
Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Leon's last 5 home league games.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leon and 1.17 for Pachuca.
When do Leon and Pachuca play?
Leon play Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 02/08/2026, kick-off 04:06 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Who is predicted to win Leon vs Pachuca?
Our model's prediction for Leon vs Pachuca is a Leon win at about 39% probability, priced 2.67 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Leon 39%, draw 28%, Pachuca 33%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
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MEK
More Mexico - Primera
2 Aug 2026