Pachuca vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Leon — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Pachuca
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Pachuca
MEK
Pachuca 2-1 Leon — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca edged past Leon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Pachuca had 46% of the ball to Leon's 54%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.79 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pachuca and 1.50 for Leon.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Leon?
Pachuca 2-1 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Leon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 49%, draw 23%, Leon 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.