Puebla 2-1 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.82/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.69
-7% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.4 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mazatlan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
368 Passes 299
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.07.2025 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-1 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
29.01.2025 Puebla Puebla 0-1 HT 0-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
31.08.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-1 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
03.02.2024 Puebla Puebla 3-2 HT 1-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
23.08.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
11.02.2023 Puebla Puebla 3-1 HT 3-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
2-1
AWAY Mazatlan
1.77 xG 1.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
332 Passes 231
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puebla edged past Mazatlan 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Puebla as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Puebla had 56% of the ball to Mazatlan's 44%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.77 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mazatlan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Puebla and 1.33 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Mazatlan?

Puebla 2-1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puebla win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Puebla 47%, draw 27%, Mazatlan 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puebla), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puebla) ✓ BTTS Yes
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