Necaxa 0-2 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Necaxa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +14%
1.19/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.11
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.4 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Monterrey
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.79 xG 1.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
268 Passes 444
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 2-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
02.02.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
18.07.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.04.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 2-5 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
01.11.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
19.02.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
0-2
AWAY Monterrey
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
355 Passes 353
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Necaxa vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey beat Necaxa 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Necaxa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Necaxa had 51% of the ball to Monterrey's 49%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Necaxa and 2.50 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Necaxa vs Monterrey?

Necaxa 0-2 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 43%, draw 22%, Monterrey 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Necaxa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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