Monterrey 3-0 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.64
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+1.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.95/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.75
+7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.8 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Necaxa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 0.76
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
411 Passes 258
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
18.07.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.04.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 2-5 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
01.11.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
19.02.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
13.08.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 1-2 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
3-0
AWAY Necaxa
1.03 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
420 Passes 323
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey cruised past Necaxa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Monterrey had 55% of the ball to Necaxa's 45%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.03 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Monterrey and 0.67 for Necaxa.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Necaxa?

Monterrey 3-0 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 63%, draw 20%, Necaxa 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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