Monterrey 1-0 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Feb 2025

Monterrey
1-0 HT 1-0
Necaxa
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Monterrey vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monterrey v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.80/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.8 Crosses 16.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Monterrey vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Necaxa
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 0.61
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
399 Passes 262
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.07.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.04.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 2-5 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
01.11.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
19.02.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
13.08.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 1-2 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
15.01.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 0-4 HT 0-3 Monterrey Monterrey MEK

Monterrey 1-0 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
1-0
AWAY Necaxa
1.30 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
307 Passes 405
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey nicked a narrow win over Necaxa 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Monterrey had 44% of the ball to Necaxa's 56%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.30 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Monterrey and 0.67 for Necaxa.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Necaxa?

Monterrey 1-0 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 47%, draw 26%, Necaxa 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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