Club America 4-0 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
9.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-8.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.99/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.69
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
20.3 Crosses 14.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.63 xG 1.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
424 Passes 311
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
25.01.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-2 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
01.07.2023 Club America Club America 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
29.04.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
08.08.2022 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
10.04.2022 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
4-0
AWAY FC Juarez
2.19 xG 0.73
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
527 Passes 342
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 6
6 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club America vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America ran out comfortable winners over FC Juarez 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Club America had 59% of the ball to FC Juarez's 41%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.19 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Club America and 0.67 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Club America vs FC Juarez?

Club America 4-0 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Club America 61%, draw 20%, FC Juarez 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ BTTS No
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