Pachuca 0-0 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.90/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.36
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.2 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atlas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.49 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Atlas Atlas 2-0 HT 2-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
01.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 4-3 HT 3-2 Atlas Atlas MEK
02.11.2023 Atlas Atlas 0-2 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
16.04.2023 Atlas Atlas 4-1 HT 3-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
26.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-1 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
30.05.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 2-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
0-0
AWAY Atlas
0.65 xG 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
359 Passes 242
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca and Atlas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Pachuca at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pachuca had 57% of the ball to Atlas's 43%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.65 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pachuca and 1.83 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Atlas?

Pachuca 0-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 49%, draw 26%, Atlas 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pachuca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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