Guadalajara vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Guadalajara
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Queretaro
MEK
2-2
HT 1-1
Guadalajara
MEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Queretaro
MEK
Guadalajara 1-1 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara and Queretaro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Guadalajara at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Guadalajara had 48% of the ball to Queretaro's 52%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.92 to 0.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guadalajara and 0.83 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Queretaro?
Guadalajara 1-1 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 55%, draw 24%, Queretaro 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guadalajara), BTTS No went the other way.