Atlas 2-0 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.31/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.42
-25% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
22.2 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pachuca
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
229 Passes 298
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 4-3 HT 3-2 Atlas Atlas MEK
02.11.2023 Atlas Atlas 0-2 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
16.04.2023 Atlas Atlas 4-1 HT 3-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
26.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-1 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
30.05.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 2-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
27.05.2022 Atlas Atlas 2-0 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
2-0
AWAY Pachuca
1.14 xG 0.26
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
433 Passes 253
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas beat Pachuca 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Atlas made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atlas had 58% of the ball to Pachuca's 42%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.14 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atlas and 2.00 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Pachuca?

Atlas 2-0 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atlas 36%, draw 27%, Pachuca 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pachuca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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