Necaxa 2-0 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.05
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Necaxa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.15/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.19
+10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
18.1 Crosses 21.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 1.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
189 Passes 335
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-2 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
28.10.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
16.02.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 3-1 HT 2-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
17.07.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-0 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
20.03.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-3 HT 0-2 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
18.08.2021 Necaxa Necaxa 3-0 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
2-0
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.64 xG 0.96
27% Ball Possession 73%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
142 Passes 534
63% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Necaxa beat Pumas UNAM 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Necaxa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Necaxa had 27% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 73%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.64 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Necaxa and 0.83 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM?

Necaxa 2-0 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 38%, draw 26%, Pumas UNAM 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Necaxa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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