Tigres UANL 1-0 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒05:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.66/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.61
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
410 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
23.6 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.42 xG 0.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
460 Passes 284
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
05.11.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
29.01.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
02.10.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-3 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
20.02.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
30.09.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
1-0
AWAY Atletico San Luis
0.96 xG 0.41
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
246 Passes 537
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL edged past Atletico San Luis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 34% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 66%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.96 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.67 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis?

Tigres UANL 1-0 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 57%, draw 22%, Atletico San Luis 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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