FC Juarez 1-2 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.17/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.09
-1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
16.7 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Club America
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 1.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
328 Passes 411
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-2 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
01.07.2023 Club America Club America 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
29.04.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
08.08.2022 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
10.04.2022 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
19.08.2021 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
1-2
AWAY Club America
0.43 xG 2.65
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 408
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America squeezed past FC Juarez 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Juarez had 42% of the ball to Club America's 58%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.43 to 2.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Club America's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Juarez and 1.83 for Club America.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Club America?

FC Juarez 1-2 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 32%, draw 25%, Club America 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5
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