Santos Laguna 0-3 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 62%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.33/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.33
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.1 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.05 xG 1.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
308 Passes 373
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-3 HT 0-2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
31.08.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-2 HT 1-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
09.01.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
15.08.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
13.01.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
29.11.2021 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
0-3
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.76 xG 1.98
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
275 Passes 437
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL swept aside Santos Laguna 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 40% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 60%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.76 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santos Laguna and 2.17 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL?

Santos Laguna 0-3 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 25%, draw 22%, Tigres UANL 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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