Monterrey vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
2-0
HT 2-0
Queretaro
MEK
0-3
HT 0-1
Monterrey
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Queretaro
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Monterrey
MEK
Monterrey 2-1 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey squeezed past Queretaro 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monterrey had 66% of the ball to Queretaro's 34%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.42 to 1.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monterrey's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monterrey and 0.33 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Queretaro?
Monterrey 2-1 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 56%, draw 22%, Queretaro 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.