Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cruz Azul v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul and Toluca traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals card split: both teams to score (59%) came in, over 2.5 goals (61%) didn't.
By the numbers, Cruz Azul had 68% of the ball to Toluca's 32%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.72 to 0.60.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.50 for Toluca.
Cruz Azul vs Toluca Result & Final Score
Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 51%, draw 24%, Toluca 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5 went the other way.