Mazatlan 2-2 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 24 Aug 2025

Mazatlan
2-2 HT 1-1
Tigres UANL
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Mazatlan vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mazatlan v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.28/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.94
+9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.8 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mazatlan vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.86
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
308 Passes 410
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
23.10.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
17.03.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 5-1 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
01.10.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-3 HT 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
09.04.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-2 HT 0-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
09.07.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK

Mazatlan 2-2 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
2-2
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.56 xG 2.02
22% Ball Possession 78%
6 Total Shots 32
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 15
90 Passes 469
57% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 58
5 Crosses 47
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan and Tigres UANL couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mazatlan had 22% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 78%, shots finished 6-32, expected goals 0.56 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mazatlan and 2.00 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Tigres UANL?

Mazatlan 2-2 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 25%, draw 30%, Tigres UANL 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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