FC Juarez 0-1 Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.04
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
62%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-2.1pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.4pp
62%
Away Win
53%
+9.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 57%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
0.82/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.10
-30% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
18.1 Crosses 31.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Guadalajara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 2.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 383
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
16.03.2025 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
01.09.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 5-0 HT 4-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
11.02.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
19.08.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
29.01.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 0-2 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
0-1
AWAY Guadalajara
0.78 xG 0.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
392 Passes 378
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over FC Juarez 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Juarez had 51% of the ball to Guadalajara's 49%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.78 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Juarez and 2.00 for Guadalajara.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Guadalajara?

FC Juarez 0-1 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 19%, draw 19%, Guadalajara 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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