FC Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 16 Mar 2025

FC Juarez
1-1
Guadalajara
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

FC Juarez vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.65
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Juarez v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.19/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.06
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
16.8 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

FC Juarez vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Guadalajara
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
331 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 5-0 HT 4-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
11.02.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
19.08.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
29.01.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 0-2 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
03.07.2022 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
10.02.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-3 HT 1-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK

FC Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
1-1
AWAY Guadalajara
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
200 Passes 423
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez and Guadalajara shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Juarez had 35% of the ball to Guadalajara's 65%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Juarez and 2.17 for Guadalajara.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Guadalajara?

FC Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 30%, draw 30%, Guadalajara 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guadalajara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5
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