Tigres UANL 3-0 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
10%
6.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.5pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.73/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.13
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
25.5 Crosses 13.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Santos Laguna
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.78 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
377 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-3 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
11.02.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-3 HT 0-2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
31.08.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-2 HT 1-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
09.01.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
15.08.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
13.01.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
3-0
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.78 xG 0.46
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
561 Passes 231
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
47 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL swept aside Santos Laguna 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 68% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 32%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.78 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.50 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Santos Laguna?

Tigres UANL 3-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 59%, draw 25%, Santos Laguna 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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